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Iraq Shifts Oil Exports to Turkey as War Threatens Key Gulf Shipping Route

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Iraq is ramping up efforts to export oil through Turkey, seeking alternatives to vulnerable Gulf shipping lanes as conflict continues to disrupt the region.

In a move to bypass the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz, Baghdad has restarted a previously unused pipeline linking its oil fields to the Turkish port of Ceyhan. Iraqi officials say the route could carry up to one million barrels per day, offering a significant workaround as maritime risks increase.

The shift comes amid heightened tensions linked to the war involving Iran, which has raised concerns about the security of one of the world’s most critical energy corridors. The Strait of Hormuz typically handles a large share of global oil and gas shipments, making any disruption a major economic concern.

Analysts say the conflict is accelerating Iraq’s push to develop the “Development Road” — a multibillion-euro infrastructure project designed to transform the country into a trade and energy hub connecting Asia and Europe through Turkey. The initiative is gaining urgency as regional instability forces governments to rethink supply routes.

Turkey’s strategic role in global energy logistics is also expanding. Already a key transit hub for gas from the Caspian region and Russia into Europe, Ankara is positioning itself to benefit from disruptions in both the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea.

However, experts warn that Iraq’s internal instability, compounded by the ongoing war, could slow progress on such large-scale projects. Cost considerations also remain a challenge, as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is typically the most economical option under normal conditions.

Beyond energy, the conflict is reshaping regional alliances. Turkey has strengthened ties with Gulf states including Qatar and Saudi Arabia, while expanding its military presence and diplomatic outreach across the region.

At the same time, Ankara has intensified engagement with Egypt in efforts to stabilise the region. These growing partnerships are partly driven by shared concerns over Israel and its role in the broader conflict.

Analysts say this evolving alignment could form a new regional bloc, but also risks deepening rivalries—particularly between Turkey and Israel, whose tensions have escalated alongside the war.

As the conflict continues, Iraq’s pivot toward Turkey underscores how energy flows, trade corridors and geopolitical influence are being rapidly reshaped across the Middle East.

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